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Neural Foundry's avatar

The AV safety data is pretty striking when you see it laid out like that. The 6x difference between Tesla FSD and human drivers is one thing, but Waymo being 80% safer on injury crashes makes you wonder how long it'll take before people really accept that machines are actualy better at this. I think the biggest hurdle now is just psychological becuse we're so used to being in control. That PERF traffic safety report ties into this too, showing how enforcement matters for changing behavior, but eventually we might not need as much of that if the cars themselfs are doing most of the work.

The Coptimizer's avatar

Statistically speaking, there are very few areas in policing where we can demonstrate a fairly direct causal impact on outcomes. Most of what we do is correlational.

Traffic enforcement is one of the rare exceptions. When officers consistently enforce speed, impairment, and seatbelt laws, and actually issue citations, not just warnings; crashes and fatalities go down. The COVID period is a case in point: enforcement dropped, risky driving went up, and fatal crashes spiked even as traffic volumes fell. It was not uncommon to get passed by cars going 100mph + on the interstate, and some of those cars I wouldn’t want to go 55 in, let alone double that!

Writing tickets is one of the least favorite tasks for most cops, but it’s also one of the few things we do where the data show a real effect on saving lives.

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